Consumer Confidence vs Sahm Rule Indicator

Consumer Confidence

University of Michigan consumer sentiment

44.8
-15.95%
Very Pessimistic
56.6 50.7 44.8 Feb'26 Mar'26 Apr'26

Sahm Rule Indicator

Real-time recession indicator

0.07%
-46.15%
No Recession Signal
0.30 0.18 0.07 Feb'26 Mar'26 Apr'26 May'26

Indicator Comparison

Consumer Confidence Sahm Rule Indicator
Current 44.8 0.07%
Change -15.95% -46.15%
Status Very Pessimistic No Recession Signal
Data Source FRED UMCSENT FRED SAHMREALTIME
Update Frequency Monthly Monthly
Last Updated May 1, 2026 June 1, 2026